Changes to Rural Migration in the COVID‐19 Pandemic☆.

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Title: Changes to Rural Migration in the COVID‐19 Pandemic☆.
Authors: Petersen, Julia K. (AUTHOR), Winkler, Richelle L. (AUTHOR), Mockrin, Miranda H. (AUTHOR)
Source: Rural Sociology. Mar2024, Vol. 89 Issue 1, p130-155. 26p.
Subjects: Urban-rural migration, COVID-19 pandemic, COVID-19, Net losses, Rural Americans
Abstract: Media stories highlighted accounts of migration away from city centers towards more rural destinations during the COVID‐19 pandemic, but systematic research about how the pandemic changed migration in more rural destinations is only starting to emerge. This paper relies on U.S. Postal Service change‐of‐address data to describe whether and how established domestic migration systems changed during the COVID‐19 pandemic, focusing on differences across the rural–urban gradient and by outdoor recreation resources. We find little evidence of massive urban exodus. We do find that out‐migration from rural counties declined post‐pandemic onset and has stayed low in the 3 years since, stemming the tide of net population loss in many rural places. Most rural counties that experienced net population loss prior to the pandemic saw either less net loss or net gains during the pandemic. Rural recreation counties experienced greater gains through both decreased out‐migration and increased in‐migration in the first year of the pandemic; but by year three, differences between rural recreation and non‐recreation counties had balanced. Overall, counties across Rural America saw notable change to pre‐pandemic migration patterns. This shift may benefit rural areas through long‐term population stability and/or growth but might also exacerbate housing and childcare shortages. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Rural Sociology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Label: Title
  Group: Ti
  Data: Changes to Rural Migration in the COVID‐19 Pandemic☆.
– Name: Author
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Petersen%2C+Julia+K%2E%22">Petersen, Julia K.</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Winkler%2C+Richelle+L%2E%22">Winkler, Richelle L.</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Mockrin%2C+Miranda+H%2E%22">Mockrin, Miranda H.</searchLink> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Rural+Sociology%22">Rural Sociology</searchLink>. Mar2024, Vol. 89 Issue 1, p130-155. 26p.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Urban-rural+migration%22">Urban-rural migration</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22COVID-19+pandemic%22">COVID-19 pandemic</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22COVID-19%22">COVID-19</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Net+losses%22">Net losses</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Rural+Americans%22">Rural Americans</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Media stories highlighted accounts of migration away from city centers towards more rural destinations during the COVID‐19 pandemic, but systematic research about how the pandemic changed migration in more rural destinations is only starting to emerge. This paper relies on U.S. Postal Service change‐of‐address data to describe whether and how established domestic migration systems changed during the COVID‐19 pandemic, focusing on differences across the rural–urban gradient and by outdoor recreation resources. We find little evidence of massive urban exodus. We do find that out‐migration from rural counties declined post‐pandemic onset and has stayed low in the 3 years since, stemming the tide of net population loss in many rural places. Most rural counties that experienced net population loss prior to the pandemic saw either less net loss or net gains during the pandemic. Rural recreation counties experienced greater gains through both decreased out‐migration and increased in‐migration in the first year of the pandemic; but by year three, differences between rural recreation and non‐recreation counties had balanced. Overall, counties across Rural America saw notable change to pre‐pandemic migration patterns. This shift may benefit rural areas through long‐term population stability and/or growth but might also exacerbate housing and childcare shortages. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of Rural Sociology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
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    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1111/ruso.12530
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 26
        StartPage: 130
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Urban-rural migration
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: COVID-19 pandemic
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: COVID-19
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Net losses
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Rural Americans
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Changes to Rural Migration in the COVID‐19 Pandemic☆.
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          Name:
            NameFull: Petersen, Julia K.
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            NameFull: Winkler, Richelle L.
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          Name:
            NameFull: Mockrin, Miranda H.
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          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 03
              Text: Mar2024
              Type: published
              Y: 2024
          Identifiers:
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              Value: 00360112
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              Value: 89
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          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Rural Sociology
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