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Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century.

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Title: Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century.
Authors: Pereira, Henrique M., Leadley, Paul W., Proença, Vânia, Alkemade, Rob, Scharlemann, Jörn P. W., Fernandez-Manjarrés, Juan F., Araújo, Miguel B., Balvanera, Patricia, Biggs, Reinette, Cheung, William W. L., Chini, Louise, Cooper, H. David, Gilman, Eric L., Guénette, Sylvie, Hurtt, George C., Huntington, Henry P., Mace, Georgina M., Oberdorff, Thierry, Revenga, Carmen, Rodrigues, Patrícia
Source: Science (pre-March 2025). 12/10/2010, Vol. 330 Issue 6010, p1496-1501. 6p.
Subjects: Socioeconomic factors, Economic development & the environment, Biodiversity research, Ecosystem services, Twenty-first century, Biodiversity conservation, Biological extinction, Species distribution
Abstract: Quantitative scenarios are coming of age as a tool for evaluating the impact of future socioeconomic development pathways on biodiversity and ecosystem services. We analyze global terrestrial, freshwater, and marine biodiversity scenarios using a range of measures including extinctions, changes in species abundance, habitat loss, and distribution shifts, as well as comparing model projections to observations. Scenarios consistently indicate that biodiversity will continue to decline over the 21st century. However, the range of projected changes is much broader than most studies suggest, partly because there are major opportunities to intervene through better policies, but also because of large uncertainties in projections. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Science (pre-March 2025) is the property of American Association for the Advancement of Science and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection
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  Data: Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Pereira%2C+Henrique+M%2E%22">Pereira, Henrique M.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Leadley%2C+Paul+W%2E%22">Leadley, Paul W.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Proença%2C+Vânia%22">Proença, Vânia</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Alkemade%2C+Rob%22">Alkemade, Rob</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Scharlemann%2C+Jörn+P%2E+W%2E%22">Scharlemann, Jörn P. W.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Fernandez-Manjarrés%2C+Juan+F%2E%22">Fernandez-Manjarrés, Juan F.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Araújo%2C+Miguel+B%2E%22">Araújo, Miguel B.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Balvanera%2C+Patricia%22">Balvanera, Patricia</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Biggs%2C+Reinette%22">Biggs, Reinette</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Cheung%2C+William+W%2E+L%2E%22">Cheung, William W. L.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Chini%2C+Louise%22">Chini, Louise</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Cooper%2C+H%2E+David%22">Cooper, H. David</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gilman%2C+Eric+L%2E%22">Gilman, Eric L.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Guénette%2C+Sylvie%22">Guénette, Sylvie</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hurtt%2C+George+C%2E%22">Hurtt, George C.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Huntington%2C+Henry+P%2E%22">Huntington, Henry P.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Mace%2C+Georgina+M%2E%22">Mace, Georgina M.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Oberdorff%2C+Thierry%22">Oberdorff, Thierry</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Revenga%2C+Carmen%22">Revenga, Carmen</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Rodrigues%2C+Patrícia%22">Rodrigues, Patrícia</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Science+%28pre-March+2025%29%22">Science (pre-March 2025)</searchLink>. 12/10/2010, Vol. 330 Issue 6010, p1496-1501. 6p.
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  Data: Quantitative scenarios are coming of age as a tool for evaluating the impact of future socioeconomic development pathways on biodiversity and ecosystem services. We analyze global terrestrial, freshwater, and marine biodiversity scenarios using a range of measures including extinctions, changes in species abundance, habitat loss, and distribution shifts, as well as comparing model projections to observations. Scenarios consistently indicate that biodiversity will continue to decline over the 21st century. However, the range of projected changes is much broader than most studies suggest, partly because there are major opportunities to intervene through better policies, but also because of large uncertainties in projections. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Science (pre-March 2025) is the property of American Association for the Advancement of Science and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
PLink https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=pbh&AN=57201376
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        Value: 10.1126/science.1196624
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      – SubjectFull: Species distribution
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