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The effect of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on non-CO2 greenhouse gas emission trends in the Southeast Asian countries.

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Title: The effect of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on non-CO2 greenhouse gas emission trends in the Southeast Asian countries.
Authors: Chen, Minpeng1 (AUTHOR) minpeng.chen@ruc.edu.cn, Li, Siqi1 (AUTHOR), Su, Xun1 (AUTHOR), Feng, Yichen1 (AUTHOR), Peng, Yichun2 (AUTHOR)
Source: Resources, Conservation & Recycling. Jun2025, Vol. 220, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.
Subject Terms: *Greenhouse gases, *Agricultural pollution, Statistical significance, Belt & Road Initiative, Farm produce exports & imports
Geographic Terms: Southeast Asia
Abstract: Agriculture in Southeast Asia (SEA) plays a crucial role in global food security, while also contributing significantly to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) presents opportunities that may influence agricultural greenhouse gas (Ag-GHG) emissions in the region. Hence, this study investigated the trends and drivers of Ag-GHG emissions in SEA since 1961 and BRI effect on them, using Mann-Kendall tests, Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index decomposition, and panel data models. While regional Ag-GHG emissions plateaued, the national trajectories fell into three categories: past peaks, plateaus, and growing; and countries in the plateau category account for over 90 % of the regional emissions. Since 1961, the key drivers of Ag-GHG emissions have included population growth (+210 %), rising agricultural labor productivity (+175 %), and a moderate increase in emission intensity (+17 %). However, these trends have been offset by gains in agricultural land productivity (-67 %) and the effects of urbanization (-40 %). Panel data models indicate that the BRI has had a statistically significant negative impact on Ag-GHG emissions in SEA, reducing emissions by 6–8 %. This decline was partially mediated by an increase in agricultural exports. The study provides valuable insights of BRI impact and underlying drivers on Ag-GHG emissions in SEA. These findings can guide policy decisions for integration into BRI to mitigate agricultural emissions in the region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Resources, Conservation & Recycling is the property of Elsevier B.V. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: GreenFILE
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Header DbId: 8gh
DbLabel: GreenFILE
An: 185390874
AccessLevel: 6
PubType: Academic Journal
PubTypeId: academicJournal
PreciseRelevancyScore: 0
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  Label: Title
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  Data: The effect of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on non-CO2 greenhouse gas emission trends in the Southeast Asian countries.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Chen%2C+Minpeng%22">Chen, Minpeng</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> minpeng.chen@ruc.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Li%2C+Siqi%22">Li, Siqi</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Su%2C+Xun%22">Su, Xun</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Feng%2C+Yichen%22">Feng, Yichen</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Peng%2C+Yichun%22">Peng, Yichun</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Greenhouse+gases%22">Greenhouse gases</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Agricultural+pollution%22">Agricultural pollution</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Statistical+significance%22">Statistical significance</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Belt+%26+Road+Initiative%22">Belt & Road Initiative</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Farm+produce+exports+%26+imports%22">Farm produce exports & imports</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Southeast+Asia%22">Southeast Asia</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
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  Data: Agriculture in Southeast Asia (SEA) plays a crucial role in global food security, while also contributing significantly to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) presents opportunities that may influence agricultural greenhouse gas (Ag-GHG) emissions in the region. Hence, this study investigated the trends and drivers of Ag-GHG emissions in SEA since 1961 and BRI effect on them, using Mann-Kendall tests, Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index decomposition, and panel data models. While regional Ag-GHG emissions plateaued, the national trajectories fell into three categories: past peaks, plateaus, and growing; and countries in the plateau category account for over 90 % of the regional emissions. Since 1961, the key drivers of Ag-GHG emissions have included population growth (+210 %), rising agricultural labor productivity (+175 %), and a moderate increase in emission intensity (+17 %). However, these trends have been offset by gains in agricultural land productivity (-67 %) and the effects of urbanization (-40 %). Panel data models indicate that the BRI has had a statistically significant negative impact on Ag-GHG emissions in SEA, reducing emissions by 6–8 %. This decline was partially mediated by an increase in agricultural exports. The study provides valuable insights of BRI impact and underlying drivers on Ag-GHG emissions in SEA. These findings can guide policy decisions for integration into BRI to mitigate agricultural emissions in the region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of Resources, Conservation & Recycling is the property of Elsevier B.V. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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        Value: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108343
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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        PageCount: 1
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      – SubjectFull: Greenhouse gases
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Agricultural pollution
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Statistical significance
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Belt & Road Initiative
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Farm produce exports & imports
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Southeast Asia
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: The effect of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on non-CO2 greenhouse gas emission trends in the Southeast Asian countries.
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            NameFull: Chen, Minpeng
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            NameFull: Li, Siqi
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            NameFull: Su, Xun
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            NameFull: Feng, Yichen
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            NameFull: Peng, Yichun
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            – D: 30
              M: 06
              Text: Jun2025
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              Y: 2025
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              Value: 220
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