Smooth predictive model fitting in regression.

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Title: Smooth predictive model fitting in regression.
Authors: Burman, Prabir1 pburman@ucdavis.edu, Paul, Debashis1 debpaul@ucdavis.edu
Source: Journal of Multivariate Analysis. Mar2017, Vol. 155, p165-179. 15p.
Subjects: Statistical smoothing, Prediction models, Regression analysis, Stochastic convergence, Gaussian processes
Abstract: We propose a smooth hypothesis-testing type method for model fitting in regression and develop its theoretical properties in a moderately high-dimensional setting. We derive the asymptotic behavior of the L 2 prediction risk and the optimal choice of the threshold-determining parameter under the Gaussian regression framework with orthogonal covariates. When the covariates are not orthogonal, this method can be used in conjunction with some reasonable procedures for orthogonalizing the covariates, such as a stepwise regression coupled with the Gram–Schmidt procedure. Simulation results show that our proposed method often outperforms its competitors. Asymptotic approximation of the mean square error of the proposed estimator is obtained and it is shown that the optimal rate of convergence depends on the behavior of the smoothing function at zero. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Journal of Multivariate Analysis is the property of Academic Press Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: Engineering Source
Description
Abstract:We propose a smooth hypothesis-testing type method for model fitting in regression and develop its theoretical properties in a moderately high-dimensional setting. We derive the asymptotic behavior of the L 2 prediction risk and the optimal choice of the threshold-determining parameter under the Gaussian regression framework with orthogonal covariates. When the covariates are not orthogonal, this method can be used in conjunction with some reasonable procedures for orthogonalizing the covariates, such as a stepwise regression coupled with the Gram–Schmidt procedure. Simulation results show that our proposed method often outperforms its competitors. Asymptotic approximation of the mean square error of the proposed estimator is obtained and it is shown that the optimal rate of convergence depends on the behavior of the smoothing function at zero. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:0047259X
DOI:10.1016/j.jmva.2016.12.010