Transforming Wind Nowcasting: Innovative Strategies for Next-Frame Prediction Using Conv-LSTM-3D Model.

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Bibliographic Details
Title:	Transforming Wind Nowcasting: Innovative Strategies for Next-Frame Prediction Using Conv-LSTM-3D Model.
Authors:	B. Upadhyay, Abhay¹ abhayupadhyay.rs@silveroakuni.ac.in, R. Shah, Saurin¹, A. Thakkar, Rajesh¹
Source:	Iraqi Journal for Electrical & Electronic Engineering. Jun2026, Vol. 22 Issue 1, p36-45. 10p.
Subjects:	Wind forecasting, Deep learning, Machine learning, Forecasting, Spatiotemporal processes, Weather forecasting
Abstract (English):	This research paper presents an innovative approach to wind nowcasting, addressing specific performance parameters through advanced machine learning techniques. The research aims to overcome inherent challenges in capturing intricate spatiotemporal relationships within wind data. Our novel methodology integrates Conv-LSTM-3D models, emphasizing the prediction of next-frame wind patterns. The Conv-LSTM-3D architecture, combining 3D convolutions and LSTM networks, is specifically tailored to effectively learn temporal dependencies and spatial features in wind data. The introduction outlines the pressing issues associated with traditional wind nowcasting methods, emphasizing the need for improved accuracy and prediction reliability. The primary objectives of this study are to explore the potential of Conv-LSTM-3D models in enhancing wind nowcasting and to assess their performance against traditional methods. Through comprehensive experiments, our approach demonstrates significant improvements in critical performance metrics, including Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio (PSNR), and Structural Similarity Index (SSIM). Specifically, improvements of 0.01, 19.23, 0.11, and 0.64 are observed, highlighting the enhanced accuracy and prediction reliability in the context of next-frame wind nowcasting. Notably, the system achieves these advancements within a reduced time frame, taking only 1149 seconds. This research contributes significantly to the advancement of meteorological prediction techniques, offering a refined short-term wind forecasting tool with potential applications across various fields. The improved clarity and organization of our methodology and findings pave the way for more effective utilization of Conv-LSTM-3D models in enhancing wind nowcasting capabilities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Abstract (Arabic):	يركز المقال على تطوير التنبؤ الفوري بالرياح من خلال ابتكار وتقييم نموذج جديد يُدعى الشبكة التلافيفية طويلة المدى ثلاثية الأبعاد (Conv-LSTM-3D)، المصمم لتوقع نمط الرياح في الإطار الزمني التالي. من خلال دمج عمليات الالتفاف ثلاثية الأبعاد مع شبكات الذاكرة طويلة المدى (LSTM)، يتمكن النموذج من التقاط التبعيات المكانية والزمانية المعقدة في بيانات الرياح بشكل أكثر فعالية مقارنةً بأساليب التعلم الآلي التقليدية مثل الانحدار الخطي، وآلات الدعم الناقل، وخوارزمية الجار الأقرب (k-nearest neighbors). تُظهر النتائج التجريبية أن نموذج Conv-LSTM-3D يُحسن بشكل ملحوظ مؤشرات الأداء الرئيسية، بما في ذلك متوسط الخطأ التربيعي (Mean Squared Error - MSE)، وجذر متوسط الخطأ التربيعي (Root Mean Squared Error - RMSE)، ونسبة الإشارة إلى الضوضاء القصوى (Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio - PSNR)، ومؤشر التشابه الهيكلي (Structural Similarity Index - SSIM)، مع الحفاظ على أوقات معالجة فعالة. تستخدم الدراسة مجموعات بيانات أرصاد جوية مُنسقة بصيغة NetCDF، ومقسمة زمنياً لأغراض التدريب والاختبار، وتُبرز إمكانيات النموذج في تحسين دقة التنبؤات القصيرة الأمد للرياح، مع تطبيقات في مجال الأرصاد الجوية والمجالات ذات الصلة. [Extracted from the article]
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Database:	Engineering Source

Description
Abstract:	This research paper presents an innovative approach to wind nowcasting, addressing specific performance parameters through advanced machine learning techniques. The research aims to overcome inherent challenges in capturing intricate spatiotemporal relationships within wind data. Our novel methodology integrates Conv-LSTM-3D models, emphasizing the prediction of next-frame wind patterns. The Conv-LSTM-3D architecture, combining 3D convolutions and LSTM networks, is specifically tailored to effectively learn temporal dependencies and spatial features in wind data. The introduction outlines the pressing issues associated with traditional wind nowcasting methods, emphasizing the need for improved accuracy and prediction reliability. The primary objectives of this study are to explore the potential of Conv-LSTM-3D models in enhancing wind nowcasting and to assess their performance against traditional methods. Through comprehensive experiments, our approach demonstrates significant improvements in critical performance metrics, including Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio (PSNR), and Structural Similarity Index (SSIM). Specifically, improvements of 0.01, 19.23, 0.11, and 0.64 are observed, highlighting the enhanced accuracy and prediction reliability in the context of next-frame wind nowcasting. Notably, the system achieves these advancements within a reduced time frame, taking only 1149 seconds. This research contributes significantly to the advancement of meteorological prediction techniques, offering a refined short-term wind forecasting tool with potential applications across various fields. The improved clarity and organization of our methodology and findings pave the way for more effective utilization of Conv-LSTM-3D models in enhancing wind nowcasting capabilities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:	18145892
DOI:	10.37917/ijeee.22.1.4