Potencial de Economía Circular en la Gestión de Residuos Urbanos en dos ciudades capitales de Colombia, aproximación con Dinámica de Sistemas.

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Bibliographic Details
Title:	Potencial de Economía Circular en la Gestión de Residuos Urbanos en dos ciudades capitales de Colombia, aproximación con Dinámica de Sistemas.
Alternate Title:	Circular Economy Potential in Urban Waste Management in Two Capital Cities of Colombia, a Systems Dynamics Approach.
Authors:	Ibarra-Vega, Danny¹ danny.ibarra@udea.edu.co
Source:	UIS Ingenierías. abr-jun2026, Vol. 25 Issue 2, p1-13. 13p.
Subjects:	Circular economy, Waste management, Plastic recycling, Paper recycling, Glass recycling, System dynamics, Waste recycling, Organic wastes
Geographic Terms:	Colombia, Bucaramanga (Colombia)
Abstract (English):	The low recovery rate of solid waste in cities can be linked to a lack of understanding of a systemic structure in urban waste management. This article presents the development of a systemic model for urban waste management, integrating recovery strategies based on the transition to a circular economy. The aim is to estimate the potential for recovering organic waste, plastics, paper and cardboard, and glass in two capital cities of northeastern Colombia: Bucaramanga and Cúcuta. The model was constructed using the Systems Dynamics methodology, which allows for the creation of mathematical models to observe trends and future scenarios. The model consists of two main modules: waste management and the potential for circularity. The estimated, evaluated, and compared circularity potential was obtained by visualizing three prospective scenarios: the current scenario, known as Business as Usual; increased capacity for waste classification; and increased capacity for waste recovery. The results reveal the investment opportunities and the need to increase the recovery capacity of the evaluated waste types for these two cities. A regional circularity model for the greater Santander region could be pursued. This model can be replicated for any city with a well-defined waste characterization and an existing or developing recovery market. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Abstract (Spanish):	El bajo aprovechamiento de residuos sólidos en las ciudades puede asociarse a la no comprensión de una estructura sistémica del complejo sistema de gestión de residuos urbanos. En el presente artículo, se muestra el desarrollo de un modelo dinámico de gestión de residuos urbanos, al que se le integran capacidades de aprovechamiento basadas en la transición a la economía circular. Se busca estimar el potencial de aprovechamiento de residuos orgánicos, plásticos, papel y cartón, y vidrios en dos ciudades capitales del nororiente de Colombia; estas son Bucaramanga y Cúcuta. El modelo fue construido con la metodología de Dinámica de Sistemas, la cual permite construir modelos matemáticos para la observación de tendencias y escenarios futuros. El modelo está compuesto de dos grandes módulos: el de gestión de residuos y el del potencial de circularidad. El potencial de circularidad estimado, evaluado y comparado se obtuvo visualizando tres escenarios prospectivos: el actual, conocido como Business as Usual, el aumento de capacidad de clasificación de residuos y el aumento de capacidad de aprovechamiento de residuos. Los resultados permiten ver la oportunidad de inversión y necesidad de aumento de capacidad de aprovechamiento de los tipos de residuos evaluados para estas dos ciudades. Se puede buscar un modelo regional de circularidad para el gran Santander. Este modelo se puede replicar para cualquier ciudad con una caracterización de residuos bien definida y mercado de aprovechamiento existente o en desarrollo, siempre y cuando exista demanda de materiales proveniente de los residuos. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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Database:	Engineering Source

Description
Abstract:	The low recovery rate of solid waste in cities can be linked to a lack of understanding of a systemic structure in urban waste management. This article presents the development of a systemic model for urban waste management, integrating recovery strategies based on the transition to a circular economy. The aim is to estimate the potential for recovering organic waste, plastics, paper and cardboard, and glass in two capital cities of northeastern Colombia: Bucaramanga and Cúcuta. The model was constructed using the Systems Dynamics methodology, which allows for the creation of mathematical models to observe trends and future scenarios. The model consists of two main modules: waste management and the potential for circularity. The estimated, evaluated, and compared circularity potential was obtained by visualizing three prospective scenarios: the current scenario, known as Business as Usual; increased capacity for waste classification; and increased capacity for waste recovery. The results reveal the investment opportunities and the need to increase the recovery capacity of the evaluated waste types for these two cities. A regional circularity model for the greater Santander region could be pursued. This model can be replicated for any city with a well-defined waste characterization and an existing or developing recovery market. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:	16574583
DOI:	10.18273/revuin.v25n2-2026001