Effectiveness of measures of performance during speculative bubbles

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Bibliographic Details
Title: Effectiveness of measures of performance during speculative bubbles
Authors: Petroni, Filippo1 fpetroni@gmail.com, Rotundo, Giulia2,3 giulia.rotundo@uniroma1.it
Source: Physica A. Jun2008, Vol. 387 Issue 15, p3942-3948. 7p.
Subjects: Reasoning, Derivative securities, Securities, Eurobond market
Abstract: Abstract: Statistical analysis of financial data mostly focused on testing the validity of Brownian motion (Bm). Analyses performed on several time series have shown deviation from the Bm hypothesis, that is at the base of the evaluation of many financial derivatives. We analyze the behavior of performance measures based on maximum drawdown movements (MDD()), testing their stability when the underlying process deviates from the Bm hypothesis. In particular we consider the fractional Brownian motion (fBm), and fluctuations estimated empirically on raw market data. The case study of the rising part of speculative bubbles is reported. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
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Database: Engineering Source
Description
Abstract:Abstract: Statistical analysis of financial data mostly focused on testing the validity of Brownian motion (Bm). Analyses performed on several time series have shown deviation from the Bm hypothesis, that is at the base of the evaluation of many financial derivatives. We analyze the behavior of performance measures based on maximum drawdown movements (MDD()), testing their stability when the underlying process deviates from the Bm hypothesis. In particular we consider the fractional Brownian motion (fBm), and fluctuations estimated empirically on raw market data. The case study of the rising part of speculative bubbles is reported. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
ISSN:03784371
DOI:10.1016/j.physa.2008.02.070