Bridging Equation-Based and Data-Driven Dynamics for Reliable Wind Speed Prediction in Energy Systems.
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| Title: | Bridging Equation-Based and Data-Driven Dynamics for Reliable Wind Speed Prediction in Energy Systems. |
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| Authors: | Yu, Hangyi1 (AUTHOR), Gao, Sheng1 (AUTHOR), Zhao, Hanqing1 (AUTHOR), Zhang, Yu1 (AUTHOR), Lin, Lianlei1 (AUTHOR) linlianlei@hit.edu.cn, Zhang, Zongwei1 (AUTHOR), Wang, Junkai1 (AUTHOR) |
| Source: | Energies (19961073). Jun2026, Vol. 19 Issue 12, p2847. 24p. |
| Subject Terms: | *Wind forecasting, *Partial differential equations, *Energy infrastructure, *Dynamical systems, *Deep learning, *Atmospheric circulation, *Spatiotemporal processes |
| Abstract: | Wind speed prediction is an essential spatiotemporal forecasting task in wind energy systems, yet it remains challenging due to the nonlinear and dynamic characteristics of atmospheric processes. The evolution of wind is governed by physical laws, which can be effectively described using partial differential equations (PDEs). To improve forecasting reliability and accuracy, this paper proposes a novel network model, termed DynWindNet, which integrates equation-based dynamics with data-driven dynamics within a unified framework. Specifically, an interactive dual-branch architecture is designed, where a Physics–Data Coupling Module (PDCM) enables adaptive information exchange between the two dynamics via attention-based gating mechanisms. In addition, a frequency-aware enhancement module (FAEM) is introduced to refine the representations of the data-driven branch by selectively emphasizing informative frequency components. Experimental results on the ERA5 dataset demonstrate that DynWindNet consistently outperforms representative baseline methods across atmospheric pressure levels. Overall, the proposed framework provides an effective approach for integrating physics-guided evolution modeling with deep spatiotemporal representation learning in wind field forecasting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Database: | Energy & Power Source |
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| Abstract: | Wind speed prediction is an essential spatiotemporal forecasting task in wind energy systems, yet it remains challenging due to the nonlinear and dynamic characteristics of atmospheric processes. The evolution of wind is governed by physical laws, which can be effectively described using partial differential equations (PDEs). To improve forecasting reliability and accuracy, this paper proposes a novel network model, termed DynWindNet, which integrates equation-based dynamics with data-driven dynamics within a unified framework. Specifically, an interactive dual-branch architecture is designed, where a Physics–Data Coupling Module (PDCM) enables adaptive information exchange between the two dynamics via attention-based gating mechanisms. In addition, a frequency-aware enhancement module (FAEM) is introduced to refine the representations of the data-driven branch by selectively emphasizing informative frequency components. Experimental results on the ERA5 dataset demonstrate that DynWindNet consistently outperforms representative baseline methods across atmospheric pressure levels. Overall, the proposed framework provides an effective approach for integrating physics-guided evolution modeling with deep spatiotemporal representation learning in wind field forecasting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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| ISSN: | 19961073 |
| DOI: | 10.3390/en19122847 |
