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A Delphi Forecast of Technology in Education.

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Title: A Delphi Forecast of Technology in Education.
Authors: Robinson, Burke E., Washington Univ., St. Louis, MO. Program on Application of Communication Satellites to Educational Development.
Peer Reviewed: N
Page Count: 140
Publication Date: 1973
Sponsoring Agency: National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Washington, DC.
Descriptors: Computer Assisted Instruction, Cost Effectiveness, Costs, Educational Technology, Educational Television, Futures (of Society), Information Services, Masters Theses, Methods, Organization, Prediction, Social Values, Telecommunications, Use Studies, Values
Abstract: The forecast reported here surveys expected utilization levels, organizational structures, and values concerning technology in education in 1990. The focus is upon educational technology and forecasting methodology; televised instruction, computer-assisted instruction (CAI), and information services are considered. The methodology employed involved: 1) asking experts to predict levels of technological utilization and their impacts upon structures and values; 2) providing feedback to them; and 3) obtaining revised estimates. The seven chapters introduce the subject, analyze forecasting methods, review previous studies, define terms, describe the design and execution of this forecast, present results, and critique the methodology used. Some major findings reported indicate that cable television will be widely available and used, that televised instruction will be common, and that CAI will be moderately widespread. Public control and financing of delivery systems will prevail and software will be available through national organizations. Also, technology will be used in coordination with teachers who will become learning managers and resource persons. Finally, education will become capital-intensive and will require cost-effectiveness. (Author/LB)
Entry Date: 1974
Accession Number: ED082497
Database: ERIC
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  – Url: https://eric.ed.gov/contentdelivery/servlet/ERICServlet?accno=ED082497
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Items – Name: Title
  Label: Title
  Group: Ti
  Data: A Delphi Forecast of Technology in Education.
– Name: Author
  Label: Authors
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Robinson%2C+Burke+E%2E%22">Robinson, Burke E.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Washington+Univ%2E%2C+St%2E+Louis%2C+MO%2E+Program+on+Application+of+Communication+Satellites+to+Educational+Development%2E%22">Washington Univ., St. Louis, MO. Program on Application of Communication Satellites to Educational Development.</searchLink>
– Name: PeerReviewed
  Label: Peer Reviewed
  Group: SrcInfo
  Data: N
– Name: Pages
  Label: Page Count
  Group: Src
  Data: 140
– Name: DatePubCY
  Label: Publication Date
  Group: Date
  Data: 1973
– Name: SourceSuprt
  Label: Sponsoring Agency
  Group: SrcSuprt
  Data: National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Washington, DC.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Descriptors
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Computer+Assisted+Instruction%22">Computer Assisted Instruction</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Cost+Effectiveness%22">Cost Effectiveness</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Costs%22">Costs</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Educational+Technology%22">Educational Technology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Educational+Television%22">Educational Television</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Futures+%28of+Society%29%22">Futures (of Society)</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Information+Services%22">Information Services</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Masters+Theses%22">Masters Theses</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Methods%22">Methods</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Organization%22">Organization</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Prediction%22">Prediction</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Social+Values%22">Social Values</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Telecommunications%22">Telecommunications</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Use+Studies%22">Use Studies</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Values%22">Values</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: The forecast reported here surveys expected utilization levels, organizational structures, and values concerning technology in education in 1990. The focus is upon educational technology and forecasting methodology; televised instruction, computer-assisted instruction (CAI), and information services are considered. The methodology employed involved: 1) asking experts to predict levels of technological utilization and their impacts upon structures and values; 2) providing feedback to them; and 3) obtaining revised estimates. The seven chapters introduce the subject, analyze forecasting methods, review previous studies, define terms, describe the design and execution of this forecast, present results, and critique the methodology used. Some major findings reported indicate that cable television will be widely available and used, that televised instruction will be common, and that CAI will be moderately widespread. Public control and financing of delivery systems will prevail and software will be available through national organizations. Also, technology will be used in coordination with teachers who will become learning managers and resource persons. Finally, education will become capital-intensive and will require cost-effectiveness. (Author/LB)
– Name: DateEntry
  Label: Entry Date
  Group: Date
  Data: 1974
– Name: AN
  Label: Accession Number
  Group: ID
  Data: ED082497
PLink https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=ED082497
RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 140
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Computer Assisted Instruction
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Cost Effectiveness
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Costs
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Educational Technology
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Educational Television
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Futures (of Society)
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Information Services
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Masters Theses
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Methods
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Organization
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Prediction
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Social Values
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Telecommunications
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Use Studies
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Values
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: A Delphi Forecast of Technology in Education.
        Type: main
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          Name:
            NameFull: Washington Univ., St. Louis, MO. Program on Application of Communication Satellites to Educational Development.
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          Name:
            NameFull: Robinson, Burke E.
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          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 08
              Type: published
              Y: 1973
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