Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes Over an Infinite Planning Horizon with Discounting. Technical Report No. 77.

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Bibliographic Details
Title: Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes Over an Infinite Planning Horizon with Discounting. Technical Report No. 77.
Authors: Wollmer, Richard D., University of Southern California, Los Angeles. Behavioral Technology Labs.
Peer Reviewed: N
Page Count: 25
Publication Date: 1976
Sponsoring Agency: Advanced Research Projects Agency (DOD), Washington, DC.
Office of Naval Research, Arlington, VA. Personnel and Training Research Programs Office.
Document Type: Reports - Descriptive
Descriptors: Computer Assisted Instruction, Decision Making, Instructional Systems, Linear Programing, Mathematical Applications, Mathematical Models, Operations Research, Probability, Systems Approach
Abstract: The true state of the system described here is characterized by a probability vector. At each stage of the system an action must be chosen from a finite set of actions. Each possible action yields an expected reward, transforms the system to a new state in accordance with a Markov transition matrix, and yields an observable outcome. The problem of finding the total maximum discounted reward as a function of the probability state vector may be formulated as a linear program with an infinite number of constraints. The reward function may be expressed as a partial N-dimensional Maclaurin series. The coefficients in this series are also determined as an optimal solution to a linear program with an infinite number of constraints. A sequence of related finitely constrained linear programs is solved which then generates a sequence of solutions that converge to a local minimum for the infinitely constrained program. This model is applicable to computer assisted instruction systems as well as to other situations. (Author/CH)
Entry Date: 1976
Accession Number: ED124161
Database: ERIC
Description
Abstract:The true state of the system described here is characterized by a probability vector. At each stage of the system an action must be chosen from a finite set of actions. Each possible action yields an expected reward, transforms the system to a new state in accordance with a Markov transition matrix, and yields an observable outcome. The problem of finding the total maximum discounted reward as a function of the probability state vector may be formulated as a linear program with an infinite number of constraints. The reward function may be expressed as a partial N-dimensional Maclaurin series. The coefficients in this series are also determined as an optimal solution to a linear program with an infinite number of constraints. A sequence of related finitely constrained linear programs is solved which then generates a sequence of solutions that converge to a local minimum for the infinitely constrained program. This model is applicable to computer assisted instruction systems as well as to other situations. (Author/CH)