Post-Instrument Bias in Linear Models

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Bibliographic Details
Title: Post-Instrument Bias in Linear Models
Language: English
Authors: Adam N. Glynn, Miguel R. Rueda (ORCID 0000-0001-7365-7722), Julian Schuessler (ORCID 0000-0002-8604-7699)
Source: Sociological Methods & Research. 2024 53(4):1829-1845.
Availability: SAGE Publications. 2455 Teller Road, Thousand Oaks, CA 91320. Tel: 800-818-7243; Tel: 805-499-9774; Fax: 800-583-2665; e-mail: journals@sagepub.com; Web site: https://sagepub.com
Peer Reviewed: Y
Page Count: 17
Publication Date: 2024
Document Type: Journal Articles
Information Analyses
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Error of Measurement, Least Squares Statistics, Statistical Bias, Mathematical Models, Comparative Analysis, Mathematical Formulas
DOI: 10.1177/00491241231156965
ISSN: 0049-1241
1552-8294
Abstract: Post-instrument covariates are often included as controls in instrumental variable (IV) analyses to address a violation of the exclusion restriction. However, we show that such analyses are subject to biases unless strong assumptions hold. Using linear constant-effects models, we present asymptotic bias formulas for three estimators (with and without measurement error): IV with post-instrument covariates, IV without post-instrument covariates, and ordinary least squares. In large samples and when the model provides a reasonable approximation, these formulas sometimes allow the analyst to bracket the parameter of interest with two estimators and allow the analyst to choose the estimator with the least asymptotic bias. We illustrate these points with a discussion of the settler mortality IV used by Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson.
Abstractor: As Provided
Entry Date: 2024
Accession Number: EJ1444065
Database: ERIC
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Description
Abstract:Post-instrument covariates are often included as controls in instrumental variable (IV) analyses to address a violation of the exclusion restriction. However, we show that such analyses are subject to biases unless strong assumptions hold. Using linear constant-effects models, we present asymptotic bias formulas for three estimators (with and without measurement error): IV with post-instrument covariates, IV without post-instrument covariates, and ordinary least squares. In large samples and when the model provides a reasonable approximation, these formulas sometimes allow the analyst to bracket the parameter of interest with two estimators and allow the analyst to choose the estimator with the least asymptotic bias. We illustrate these points with a discussion of the settler mortality IV used by Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson.
ISSN:0049-1241
1552-8294
DOI:10.1177/00491241231156965