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Predicting Future Citation Behavior.

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Bibliographic Details
Title: Predicting Future Citation Behavior.
Language: English
Authors: Burrell, Quentin L.
Source: Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. Mar 2003 54(5):372-378.
Peer Reviewed: Y
Page Count: 7
Publication Date: 2003
Document Type: Journal Articles
Reports - Descriptive
Descriptors: Citation Analysis, Futures (of Society), Mathematical Formulas, Models, Obsolescence, Predictive Measurement
Abstract: Develops the theory for a stochastic model for the citation process in the presence of obsolescence to predict the future citation pattern of individual papers in a collection. Shows that the expected number of future citations is a linear function of the current number, interpreted as an example of a success-breeds-success phenomenon. (Author/LRW)
Entry Date: 2003
Accession Number: EJ671864
Database: ERIC
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  Data: Predicting Future Citation Behavior.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="SO" term="%22Journal+of+the+American+Society+for+Information+Science+and+Technology%22"><i>Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology</i></searchLink>. Mar 2003 54(5):372-378.
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  Data: Y
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  Data: 7
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  Data: 2003
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Citation+Analysis%22">Citation Analysis</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Futures+%28of+Society%29%22">Futures (of Society)</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Mathematical+Formulas%22">Mathematical Formulas</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Models%22">Models</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Obsolescence%22">Obsolescence</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Predictive+Measurement%22">Predictive Measurement</searchLink>
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  Data: Develops the theory for a stochastic model for the citation process in the presence of obsolescence to predict the future citation pattern of individual papers in a collection. Shows that the expected number of future citations is a linear function of the current number, interpreted as an example of a success-breeds-success phenomenon. (Author/LRW)
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      – Text: English
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      Pagination:
        PageCount: 7
        StartPage: 372
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Citation Analysis
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Futures (of Society)
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      – SubjectFull: Mathematical Formulas
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      – SubjectFull: Models
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      – SubjectFull: Obsolescence
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      – SubjectFull: Predictive Measurement
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      – TitleFull: Predicting Future Citation Behavior.
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