The impact of climate change and increasing ambient temperatures on population-level blood pressure trends.

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Bibliographic Details
Title: The impact of climate change and increasing ambient temperatures on population-level blood pressure trends.
Alternate Title: El impacto del cambio climático y el aumento de la temperatura ambiente en las tendencias de la presión arterial a nivel poblacional.
Authors: Uralova, Muxabbat1 uralovamuhabbat96@gmail.com, Sabirova, Dilnoza2 sabirovadilnoza123@gmail.co, Rakhmatova, Markhabo3 raxmatova.marhabo@bsmi.uz, Djumabayeva, Mohira4 mohibird1@gmail.com, Qutlikova, Guzalhon5 Qutlikova.guliguli2@gmail.com, Abdullaeva, Mavjuda6 abdulmav@rambler.ru, Axmadaliyev, Rustam7 axmadaliyevrustam5@gmail.com
Source: Revista Latinoamericana de Hipertensión. 2026, Vol. 21 Issue 2, p101-109. 9p.
Subjects: CLIMATE change, BLOOD pressure, POPULATION health, CARDIAC patients, HEAT waves (Meteorology), ATMOSPHERIC temperature, SEASONAL physiological variations
Geographic Terms: UZBEKISTAN
Abstract (English): Hn populations experience major health issues because of climate change and global warming effects. The research project studied how rising temperatures impact blood pressure patterns in Uzbekistan between 2015 and 2024. The research team obtained blood pressure measurements for over 500000 adult individuals from the Ministry of Health database whereas they collected daily temperature information from eight provincial Meteorological Service stations. The researchers employed time series models together with nonlinear lag distribution models for their data analysis. The study found that average annual temperature for the period increased by 1.7 degrees Celsius while the population’s average systolic blood pressure rose from 126.8 to 132.3 mmHg. The percentage of people with high blood pressure increased from 28% to 34.6%. The study discovered an inverted U-shaped relationship between temperature and blood pressure, which showed that at temperatures below 5 degrees, systolic blood pressure increased by 3.8 mmHg while temperatures above 35 degrees, led to a 2.4 mmHg blood pressure rise. The study found that heat waves caused a 23 percent rise in cardiovascular hospitalization rates and a 28 percent rise in death rates which particularly affected elderly people and residents of disadvantaged communities. The study found that blood pressure levels during winter months exceeded summer levels by 3.9 mmHg and that people who lacked cooling systems experienced greater blood pressure increases during heat waves. The research demonstrates that climate change together with rising temperatures has produced major blood pressure changes throughout the population of Uzbekistan. The health effects of this phenomenon require early warning system development and protection of vulnerable populations and seasonal treatment adjustments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Abstract (Spanish): Las poblaciones humanas experimentan importantes problemas de salud debido al cambio climático y los efectos del calentamiento global. El proyecto de investigación estudió cómo el aumento de las temperaturas impactó los patrones de presión arterial en Uzbekistán entre 2015 y 2024. El equipo de investigación obtuvo mediciones de presión arterial de más de 500.000 adultos de la base de datos del Ministerio de Salud, mientras que recopiló información diaria de temperatura de ocho estaciones provinciales del Servicio Meteorológico. Los investigadores emplearon modelos de series temporales junto con modelos de distribución de retardo no lineal para el análisis de datos. El estudio reveló que la temperatura media anual durante el período aumentó 1,7 grados Celsius, mientras que la presión arterial sistólica media de la población aumentó de 126,8 a 132,3 mmHg. El porcentaje de personas con hipertensión arterial aumentó del 28 % al 34,6 %. El estudio descubrió una relación en forma de U invertida entre la temperatura y la presión arterial. Esta relación mostró que, a temperaturas inferiores a 5 grados, la presión arterial sistólica aumentó 3,8 mmHg, mientras que a temperaturas superiores a 35 grados, la presión arterial aumentó 2,4 mmHg. El estudio reveló que las olas de calor provocaron un aumento del 23 % en las tasas de hospitalización por causas cardiovasculares y del 28 % en las tasas de mortalidad, lo que afectó especialmente a las personas mayores y a los residentes de comunidades desfavorecidas. El estudio reveló que los niveles de presión arterial durante los meses de invierno superaron los de verano en 3,9 mmHg, y que las personas sin sistemas de refrigeración experimentaron mayores aumentos de presión arterial durante las olas de calor. La investigación demuestra que el cambio climático, junto con el aumento de las temperaturas, ha producido importantes cambios en la presión arterial en toda la población de Uzbekistán. Los efectos de este fenómeno sobre la salud requieren el desarrollo de un sistema de alerta temprana, la protección de las poblaciones vulnerables y la adaptación estacional del tratamiento. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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Database: MedicLatina
Description
Abstract:Hn populations experience major health issues because of climate change and global warming effects. The research project studied how rising temperatures impact blood pressure patterns in Uzbekistan between 2015 and 2024. The research team obtained blood pressure measurements for over 500000 adult individuals from the Ministry of Health database whereas they collected daily temperature information from eight provincial Meteorological Service stations. The researchers employed time series models together with nonlinear lag distribution models for their data analysis. The study found that average annual temperature for the period increased by 1.7 degrees Celsius while the population’s average systolic blood pressure rose from 126.8 to 132.3 mmHg. The percentage of people with high blood pressure increased from 28% to 34.6%. The study discovered an inverted U-shaped relationship between temperature and blood pressure, which showed that at temperatures below 5 degrees, systolic blood pressure increased by 3.8 mmHg while temperatures above 35 degrees, led to a 2.4 mmHg blood pressure rise. The study found that heat waves caused a 23 percent rise in cardiovascular hospitalization rates and a 28 percent rise in death rates which particularly affected elderly people and residents of disadvantaged communities. The study found that blood pressure levels during winter months exceeded summer levels by 3.9 mmHg and that people who lacked cooling systems experienced greater blood pressure increases during heat waves. The research demonstrates that climate change together with rising temperatures has produced major blood pressure changes throughout the population of Uzbekistan. The health effects of this phenomenon require early warning system development and protection of vulnerable populations and seasonal treatment adjustments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:18564550
DOI:10.5281/zenodo.19049421