View in EDS HTML Full Text PDF Full Text

Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities.

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Title: Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities.
Authors: Dalziel, Benjamin D. (AUTHOR), Kissler, Stephen (AUTHOR), Gog, Julia R. (AUTHOR), Viboud, Cecile (AUTHOR), Bjørnstad, Ottar N. (AUTHOR), Metcalf, C. Jessica E. (AUTHOR), Grenfell, Bryan T. (AUTHOR)
Source: Science (pre-March 2025). 10/5/2018, Vol. 362 Issue 6410, p75-79. 5p. 3 Diagrams.
Subjects: Epidemics, Influenza, Urbanization, Viral evolution, Cities & towns, Disease incidence, Population density
Geographic Terms: United States
Abstract: Influenza epidemics vary in intensity from year to year, driven by climatic conditions and by viral antigenic evolution. However, important spatial variation remains unexplained. Here we show predictable differences in influenza incidence among cities, driven by population size and structure. Weekly incidence data from 603 cities in the United States reveal that epidemics in smaller cities are focused on shorter periods of the influenza season, whereas in larger cities, incidence is more diffuse. Base transmission potential estimated from city-level incidence data is positively correlated with population size and with spatiotemporal organization in population density, indicating a milder response to climate forcing in metropolises. This suggests that urban centers incubate critical chains of transmission outside of peak climatic conditions, altering the spatiotemporal geometry of herd immunity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Science (pre-March 2025) is the property of American Association for the Advancement of Science and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection
Full text is not displayed to guests.
FullText Links:
  – Type: pdflink
Text:
  Availability: 1
Header DbId: pbh
DbLabel: Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection
An: 132334843
AccessLevel: 6
PubType: Academic Journal
PubTypeId: academicJournal
PreciseRelevancyScore: 0
IllustrationInfo
Items – Name: Title
  Label: Title
  Group: Ti
  Data: Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities.
– Name: Author
  Label: Authors
  Group: Au
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Dalziel%2C+Benjamin+D%2E%22">Dalziel, Benjamin D.</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Kissler%2C+Stephen%22">Kissler, Stephen</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gog%2C+Julia+R%2E%22">Gog, Julia R.</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Viboud%2C+Cecile%22">Viboud, Cecile</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Bjørnstad%2C+Ottar+N%2E%22">Bjørnstad, Ottar N.</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Metcalf%2C+C%2E+Jessica+E%2E%22">Metcalf, C. Jessica E.</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Grenfell%2C+Bryan+T%2E%22">Grenfell, Bryan T.</searchLink> (AUTHOR)
– Name: TitleSource
  Label: Source
  Group: Src
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Science+%28pre-March+2025%29%22">Science (pre-March 2025)</searchLink>. 10/5/2018, Vol. 362 Issue 6410, p75-79. 5p. 3 Diagrams.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subjects
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Epidemics%22">Epidemics</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Influenza%22">Influenza</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Urbanization%22">Urbanization</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Viral+evolution%22">Viral evolution</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Cities+%26+towns%22">Cities & towns</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Disease+incidence%22">Disease incidence</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Population+density%22">Population density</searchLink>
– Name: SubjectGeographic
  Label: Geographic Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22United+States%22">United States</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Influenza epidemics vary in intensity from year to year, driven by climatic conditions and by viral antigenic evolution. However, important spatial variation remains unexplained. Here we show predictable differences in influenza incidence among cities, driven by population size and structure. Weekly incidence data from 603 cities in the United States reveal that epidemics in smaller cities are focused on shorter periods of the influenza season, whereas in larger cities, incidence is more diffuse. Base transmission potential estimated from city-level incidence data is positively correlated with population size and with spatiotemporal organization in population density, indicating a milder response to climate forcing in metropolises. This suggests that urban centers incubate critical chains of transmission outside of peak climatic conditions, altering the spatiotemporal geometry of herd immunity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of Science (pre-March 2025) is the property of American Association for the Advancement of Science and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
PLink https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=pbh&AN=132334843
RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1126/science.aat6030
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 5
        StartPage: 75
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Epidemics
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Influenza
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Urbanization
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Viral evolution
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Cities & towns
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Disease incidence
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Population density
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: United States
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities.
        Type: main
  BibRelationships:
    HasContributorRelationships:
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Dalziel, Benjamin D.
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kissler, Stephen
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gog, Julia R.
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Viboud, Cecile
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Bjørnstad, Ottar N.
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Metcalf, C. Jessica E.
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Grenfell, Bryan T.
    IsPartOfRelationships:
      – BibEntity:
          Dates:
            – D: 05
              M: 10
              Text: 10/5/2018
              Type: published
              Y: 2018
          Identifiers:
            – Type: issn-print
              Value: 00368075
          Numbering:
            – Type: volume
              Value: 362
            – Type: issue
              Value: 6410
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Science (pre-March 2025)
              Type: main
ResultId 1