Ecological Niche Modeling Reveals Historical Population Dynamics and Future Climate Response of the Carnivorous Plant Nepenthes mirabilis in Southeast Asia.
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| Title: | Ecological Niche Modeling Reveals Historical Population Dynamics and Future Climate Response of the Carnivorous Plant Nepenthes mirabilis in Southeast Asia. |
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| Authors: | Huang, Zhilong1,2 (AUTHOR), Yu, Wenya1 (AUTHOR), Lv, Wenjun1 (AUTHOR), Liang, Chuxin1 (AUTHOR), Zhang, Rongjing1 (AUTHOR), Along, Archie3 (AUTHOR), Kong, Hanghui4 (AUTHOR) konghh@scbg.ac.cn, Gong, Wei1 (AUTHOR) wgong@scau.edu.cn |
| Source: | Ecology & Evolution (20457758). Dec2025, Vol. 15 Issue 12, p1-17. 17p. |
| Subject Terms: | *Ecological niche, *Climate change, *Population dynamics, *Conservation projects (Natural resources), *Carnivorous plants, *Habitats, Endemic species, Southeast Asian history |
| Geographic Terms: | Southeast Asia, New Guinea (Island) |
| Abstract: | Climate change and environmental factors are reshaping natural habitats, threatening species diversity and genetic resources. Nepenthes mirabilis , a dioecious carnivorous plant and vulnerable species, is mainly distributed in Southeast Asia, one of the key biodiversity hotspots and conservation priority areas. In this study, we used the MaxEnt model to predict the potential distribution of N. mirabilis across past, present, and future climate scenarios, based on 513 occurrence records and five key environmental variables of Annual Mean Temperature, Temperature Seasonality, Annual Precipitation, April Precipitation, and December Precipitation. The model demonstrated excellent predictive performance with high AUC and TSS values. Annual Precipitation was identified to be the most important climate factor influencing the geographical distribution of N. mirabilis. Wallacea and New Guinea are suggested as likely centers of the geographical origin of N. mirabilis , from where it expanded to the Sundaic region through the land bridge during glacial periods and subsequently colonized the Philippines and Indochina. Under future scenarios, the most suitable climate scenario for the development of N. mirabilis is the Sustainable Development Pathway. As temperature rises, suitable habitats are projected to shift toward higher latitudes, with low‐latitude populations facing increasing risks. By integrating Ecological Niche Modeling with evolutionary inference, the study interprets how historical and future climate oscillations shape geographical distributions in Southeast Asia and provides in situ and ex situ conservation strategies for N. mirabilis. These findings also contribute to a broad understanding of species evolution and population dynamics across subtropical and tropical biodiversity hotspots. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of Ecology & Evolution (20457758) is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
| Database: | GreenFILE |
| FullText | Text: Availability: 0 |
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| Header | DbId: 8gh DbLabel: GreenFILE An: 190646449 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Ecological Niche Modeling Reveals Historical Population Dynamics and Future Climate Response of the Carnivorous Plant Nepenthes mirabilis in Southeast Asia. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Huang%2C+Zhilong%22">Huang, Zhilong</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Yu%2C+Wenya%22">Yu, Wenya</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Lv%2C+Wenjun%22">Lv, Wenjun</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Liang%2C+Chuxin%22">Liang, Chuxin</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Zhang%2C+Rongjing%22">Zhang, Rongjing</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Along%2C+Archie%22">Along, Archie</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Kong%2C+Hanghui%22">Kong, Hanghui</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> konghh@scbg.ac.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gong%2C+Wei%22">Gong, Wei</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> wgong@scau.edu.cn</i> – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Ecology+%26+Evolution+%2820457758%29%22">Ecology & Evolution (20457758)</searchLink>. Dec2025, Vol. 15 Issue 12, p1-17. 17p. – Name: Subject Label: Subject Terms Group: Su Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Ecological+niche%22">Ecological niche</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change%22">Climate change</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Population+dynamics%22">Population dynamics</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Conservation+projects+%28Natural+resources%29%22">Conservation projects (Natural resources)</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Carnivorous+plants%22">Carnivorous plants</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Habitats%22">Habitats</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Endemic+species%22">Endemic species</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Southeast+Asian+history%22">Southeast Asian history</searchLink> – Name: SubjectGeographic Label: Geographic Terms Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Southeast+Asia%22">Southeast Asia</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22New+Guinea+%28Island%29%22">New Guinea (Island)</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: Climate change and environmental factors are reshaping natural habitats, threatening species diversity and genetic resources. Nepenthes mirabilis , a dioecious carnivorous plant and vulnerable species, is mainly distributed in Southeast Asia, one of the key biodiversity hotspots and conservation priority areas. In this study, we used the MaxEnt model to predict the potential distribution of N. mirabilis across past, present, and future climate scenarios, based on 513 occurrence records and five key environmental variables of Annual Mean Temperature, Temperature Seasonality, Annual Precipitation, April Precipitation, and December Precipitation. The model demonstrated excellent predictive performance with high AUC and TSS values. Annual Precipitation was identified to be the most important climate factor influencing the geographical distribution of N. mirabilis. Wallacea and New Guinea are suggested as likely centers of the geographical origin of N. mirabilis , from where it expanded to the Sundaic region through the land bridge during glacial periods and subsequently colonized the Philippines and Indochina. Under future scenarios, the most suitable climate scenario for the development of N. mirabilis is the Sustainable Development Pathway. As temperature rises, suitable habitats are projected to shift toward higher latitudes, with low‐latitude populations facing increasing risks. By integrating Ecological Niche Modeling with evolutionary inference, the study interprets how historical and future climate oscillations shape geographical distributions in Southeast Asia and provides in situ and ex situ conservation strategies for N. mirabilis. These findings also contribute to a broad understanding of species evolution and population dynamics across subtropical and tropical biodiversity hotspots. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of Ecology & Evolution (20457758) is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
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| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1002/ece3.72707 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 17 StartPage: 1 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Ecological niche Type: general – SubjectFull: Climate change Type: general – SubjectFull: Population dynamics Type: general – SubjectFull: Conservation projects (Natural resources) Type: general – SubjectFull: Carnivorous plants Type: general – SubjectFull: Habitats Type: general – SubjectFull: Endemic species Type: general – SubjectFull: Southeast Asian history Type: general – SubjectFull: Southeast Asia Type: general – SubjectFull: New Guinea (Island) Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Ecological Niche Modeling Reveals Historical Population Dynamics and Future Climate Response of the Carnivorous Plant Nepenthes mirabilis in Southeast Asia. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Huang, Zhilong – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Yu, Wenya – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Lv, Wenjun – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Liang, Chuxin – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Zhang, Rongjing – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Along, Archie – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Kong, Hanghui – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Gong, Wei IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 01 M: 12 Text: Dec2025 Type: published Y: 2025 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 20457758 Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 15 – Type: issue Value: 12 Titles: – TitleFull: Ecology & Evolution (20457758) Type: main |
| ResultId | 1 |
