Predicting Future Citation Behavior.
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| Title: | Predicting Future Citation Behavior. |
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| Language: | English |
| Authors: | Burrell, Quentin L. |
| Source: | Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology. Mar 2003 54(5):372-378. |
| Peer Reviewed: | Y |
| Page Count: | 7 |
| Publication Date: | 2003 |
| Document Type: | Journal Articles Reports - Descriptive |
| Descriptors: | Citation Analysis, Futures (of Society), Mathematical Formulas, Models, Obsolescence, Predictive Measurement |
| Abstract: | Develops the theory for a stochastic model for the citation process in the presence of obsolescence to predict the future citation pattern of individual papers in a collection. Shows that the expected number of future citations is a linear function of the current number, interpreted as an example of a success-breeds-success phenomenon. (Author/LRW) |
| Entry Date: | 2003 |
| Accession Number: | EJ671864 |
| Database: | ERIC |
| Abstract: | Develops the theory for a stochastic model for the citation process in the presence of obsolescence to predict the future citation pattern of individual papers in a collection. Shows that the expected number of future citations is a linear function of the current number, interpreted as an example of a success-breeds-success phenomenon. (Author/LRW) |
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